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Recovery planning

Drawdown Recovery Calculator

See how many trades and how much time it may take to recover from a given drawdown using the statistical properties of your system. Expected trades to recovery, expected time to recovery, and recovery difficulty. Focused on system recovery math only.

Inputs

Current drawdown (red)

Suggested from system if loaded

Current drawdown

10%

Recovery metrics

Expectancy (R per trade)

0.5 R

Expected trades to recovery

20

Expected time to recovery (days)

6.67

Recovery formula: drawdown% ÷ (expectancy × risk%). Time = trades to recovery ÷ trades per day. If expectancy ≤ 0, the system has no positive edge and recovery is not expected.

Recovery difficulty

Easier recovery path

With your current system stats, expected recovery is relatively short. Keep position sizing consistent; do not overtrade or over-leverage.

Disclaimer

Expected recovery is theoretical based on average expectancy. Variance can make actual recovery longer or shorter. For system recovery planning only—not generic investment or financial planning.